Is It Over For Russia?

Clarus
3 min readMar 17, 2024

Russia has lost over 420,000 soldiers, more than half of their tanks, and more than half of their artillery. While they are still holding onto some parts of Ukraine, it costs them extreme resources to continue to do so. In the last 30 days of war, Russia has lost over 1,000 soldiers per day. Russia will eventually lose by simply running out of personnel and equipment, but recently, a new development has occurred that means it could be over for Russia very soon. Ukraine has begun attacking oil refineries in Russia, at a very high rate. It’s been estimated that over 20% of oil production in Russia is gone now.

The last two attacks occurred at a refinery in Syzran and one at Slavyansk-on-Kuban. Footage can be viewed in the Reddit threads below:

Overnight, Ukrainian drones struck multiple refineries in Russia. Seen here, a valuable distillation unit at the Syzran refinery burns. : ukraine (reddit.com)

Yet another Ukrainian drone attack on a russian oil refinery — this is time in Slavyansk-on-Kuban in Krasnodar Krai. This week Ukraine attacked 8 oil refineries : ukraine (reddit.com)

Due to previous drone attacks, Russia ordered a ban on gasoline exports on February 27, that went into effect on March 1. Due to the upcoming election at the time, Putin wanted to ensure that the population at home would not feel the effects of a…

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Clarus

Hello, I'm Clarus. I cover geopolitics, with focus on the Ukraine War.